Ahead of the UK General Elections 2024 on July 4, opinion pollsters YouGov have predicted a landslide victory for Britain’s main opposition – the Labour Party; the Conservatives led by now UK PM Rishi Sunak are expected to be reduced to 140 seats.
UK General Elections 2024 Poll Prediction: The Indian-origin Prime Minister of United Kingdom, Rishi Sunak recently, hastily announced the UK General Elections 2024 Date – the elections are scheduled to take place on July 4, 2024. The Prime Minister was required to hold a vote by January, 2024 but because of the drop in inflation rates in the country in the last week of May, the UK PM called for snap polls and this also started a six-week campaign which according to latest poll predictions, may end in the falling of the Conservative government led by Rishi Sunak. According to the latest poll predictions made by the opinion pollsters YouGov, Labour Party is set to achieve its biggest ever victory in the general elections with a 194-seat majority while the Conservatives may be reduced to just 140 seats. Here’s what the latest predictions say about the UK General Elections 2024 Winner…
Labour Party Set For Biggest Ever Victory: Opinion Pollsters
As mentioned earlier, Britain’s main opposition Labour Party is set for its biggest ever victory in next month’s general election, winning by a larger margin than in 1997 under former prime minister Tony Blair, opinion pollsters YouGov said on Monday. YouGov’s poll predicted that centre-left Labour would win 422 seats in parliament, giving them a 194-seat majority, while Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives are on course for their lowest total in more than a century.
Rishi Sunak-Led Conservatives To Be Reduced To 140 Seats?
The Conservatives are expected to be reduced to 140 seats, according to the multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) poll which use big data sets and demographic analysis to predict results in individual seats. YouGov said it would be the biggest collapse in support for the Conservatives since 1906 and its model suggested that the party could be set for “near wipeout” in many areas, including London, the North East, the North West, and Wales.
Credibility Of Opinion Pollster YouGov
The poll data was collected before Brexit campaigner Nigel Farage took over the leadership of the rival right-wing Reform Party party on Monday, which analysts say could hit the Conservative vote further. A previous YouGov MRP poll published in early April – before Sunak surprised political analysts and even some lawmakers by calling a summer election – showed Labour winning 403 seats nationwide if a general election was held then. Opinion polls consistently show Labour, led by Keir Starmer, roughly 20 points ahead of the Conservatives.
The latest YouGov poll also predicted that the pro-independence Scottish National Party, who are on their third leader in just over a year, would lose more than half their seats. Labour, which has been put of power for 14 years, are seen taking 34 seats in Scotland, giving them the largest number of Scottish seats in Britain’s parliament, YouGov said. The poll predicted that senior Conservatives including finance minister Jeremy Hunt, defence minister Grant Shapps, the leader of the House of Commons Penny Mordaunt, and prominent Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg could lose their seats.
(Inputs from Reuters)